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Poisson Process Calculator

Free online poisson process calculator. Enter your values and get instant results with the formula, step-by-step working, a worked example and FAQs — everything runs locally in your browser on Calcton, no signup required.

中文版:泊松过程计算器

Poisson Process Calculator
事件率 λ(单位时间平均次数)
观察时长 t
事件数 k

原理:泊松过程是无记忆的随机事件流——事件在任意时刻等可能发生、互不影响。时长 t 内的事件数服从泊松分布 P(N(t)=k) = e⁻ᐧλt·(λt)ᵏ/k!,相邻事件间隔服从指数分布。网页访问、客服来电、放射性衰变计数都近似这一模型。

步骤:① 输入事件率 λ 与时长 t;② 给出感兴趣的事件数 k;③ 点击计算。

示例:λ = 2、t = 3 时期望 6 个事件,恰好发生 4 个的概率 0.13385261754,不超过 4 个的概率 0.285056500317。

注意事项:模型要求事件独立且率恒定——高峰时段的来电率会变化,应分段建模;泊松分布的方差等于均值 λt,实际数据若方差明显偏大说明存在聚集(可用负二项修正);k 较大时用连续近似避免数值下溢。

相关:泊松分布计算器给出单参数版本;指数分布计算器描述事件间隔;放射性衰变计算器是泊松过程在物理中的直接应用。

How to use the Poisson Process Calculator

  1. Fill in the inputs with your own numbers — every field shows what it expects.
  2. The result updates instantly as you type; no "Calculate" click needed.
  3. Read the result card for the main figure, the step-by-step formula, and practical notes.

Frequently asked questions

Is the Poisson Process Calculator free?

Yes — all math calculators on Calcton are free, with no sign-up required. Your inputs are processed in your browser and never sent to a server.

Is there a Chinese version of this tool?

Yes. Use the Chinese version link above — it is the same calculator with the interface in Simplified Chinese.

References

Formulas and benchmarks used by this calculator follow these published sources.

  1. dlmf.nist.gov
  2. mathworld.wolfram.com
Kevin's profile

KevinContent LeadCalcton Editorial Team · Last updated 2026-10-05

Kevin maintains Calcton's formula verification and content: every calculator cites the standard it implements, worked examples are recomputed programmatically, and health benchmarks follow WHO and international guidelines.

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